Our model gives Parramatta a 51% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 30% for Bankstown United.

Both teams are projected to score in 69% of simulations, against 31% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 69% likelihood against 31% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Parramatta have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Bankstown United have done so in 0 of their last 1.