Our model gives Parceiro Nagano a 32% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 46% for Fukui United.

Both teams are projected to score in 51% of simulations, against 49% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Parceiro Nagano have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1.