Our model gives Pamba Jiji a 8% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 72% for Simba.

Both teams are projected to score in 37% of simulations, against 63% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 37% likelihood against 63% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Pamba Jiji have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1.