Our model gives Oxford City a 48% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Bedford Town.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 53% likelihood against 47% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Oxford City have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Bedford Town have done so in 1 of their last 2.