Our model gives Oulu a 31% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 43% for Inter Turku.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 52% likelihood against 48% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Oulu have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Inter Turku have done so in 3 of their last 6.