Our model gives Otelul a 33% chance to win this one, against 29% for a draw and 38% for Universitatea Craiova.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 54% likelihood against 46% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Otelul have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Universitatea Craiova have done so in 4 of their last 6.