Our model gives Ospitaletto a 35% chance to win this one, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Cittadella.

Both teams are projected to score in 47% of simulations, against 53% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 39% likelihood against 61% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Ospitaletto have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1.