Our model gives Oskarshamns AIK a 63% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Karlshamn.

Both teams are projected to score in 60% of simulations, against 40% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Oskarshamns AIK have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Karlshamn have done so in 3 of their last 3.