Our model gives OshMU-Aldier a 29% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 47% for Alay.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 53% likelihood against 47% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, OshMU-Aldier have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Alay have done so in 1 of their last 1.