Our model gives Orsomarso a 53% chance to win this one, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Boca Juniors de Cali.

Both teams are projected to score in 42% of simulations, against 58% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 37% likelihood against 63% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Orsomarso have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Boca Juniors de Cali have done so in 1 of their last 2.