Our model gives Orsha a 13% chance to win this one, against 17% for a draw and 70% for Shakhtyor Soligorsk.

Both teams are projected to score in 57% of simulations, against 43% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 69% likelihood against 31% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Orsha have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Shakhtyor Soligorsk have done so in 2 of their last 3.