Our model gives Ordabasy a 78% chance to win this one, against 15% for a draw and 7% for Altay.

Both teams are projected to score in 45% of simulations, against 55% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Ordabasy have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Altay have done so in 4 of their last 4.