Our model gives Olympic Mobiuz a 36% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Aral.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 51% likelihood against 49% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Olympic Mobiuz have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Aral have done so in 0 of their last 4.