Our model gives Olimpia Grudziądz a 36% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 37% for NKP Podhale.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Olimpia Grudziądz have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and NKP Podhale have done so in 3 of their last 5.