Our model gives Oakleigh Cannons a 40% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Avondale Heights.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Oakleigh Cannons have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Avondale Heights have done so in 3 of their last 3.