Our model gives O'Higgins a 39% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Boca Juniors.

Both teams are projected to score in 51% of simulations, against 49% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 47% likelihood against 53% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, O'Higgins have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Boca Juniors have done so in 1 of their last 1.