Our model gives Northwich Victoria a 43% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 36% for Atherton Collieries.

Both teams are projected to score in 64% of simulations, against 36% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 70% likelihood against 30% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Northwich Victoria have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Atherton Collieries have done so in 1 of their last 2.