Our model gives North Pine a 29% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 53% for Springfield United.

Both teams are projected to score in 72% of simulations, against 28% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 77% likelihood against 23% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, North Pine have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 4, and Springfield United have done so in 2 of their last 2.