Our model gives North Ferriby a 59% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 22% for St Helens.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, North Ferriby have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and St Helens have done so in 1 of their last 1.