Our model gives Nordstrand a 52% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 30% for Grei.

Both teams are projected to score in 71% of simulations, against 29% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 71% likelihood against 29% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Nordstrand have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Grei have done so in 3 of their last 4.