Our model gives Nomads United a 82% chance to win this one, against 10% for a draw and 8% for Selwyn United.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 82% likelihood against 18% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Nomads United have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Selwyn United have done so in 1 of their last 2.