Our model gives Noah a 61% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Syunik.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 54% likelihood against 46% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Noah have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5, and Syunik have done so in 3 of their last 3.