Our model gives Noah II a 11% chance to win this one, against 14% for a draw and 76% for Andranik.

Both teams are projected to score in 57% of simulations, against 43% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 73% likelihood against 27% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Noah II have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Andranik have done so in 3 of their last 3.