Our model gives Newmarket a 92% chance to win this one, against 5% for a draw and 4% for Redcliffe PCYC.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 93% likelihood against 7% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Newmarket have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 4, and Redcliffe PCYC have done so in 3 of their last 3.