Our model gives Newmarket a 58% chance to win this one, against 17% for a draw and 25% for North Pine.

Both teams are projected to score in 70% of simulations, against 30% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 70% likelihood against 30% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Newmarket have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and North Pine have done so in 1 of their last 1.