Our model gives Newington Youth a 41% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Annagh United.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 59% likelihood against 41% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Newington Youth have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Annagh United have done so in 3 of their last 3.