Our model gives Needham Market a 43% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Braintree Town.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 62% likelihood against 38% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Needham Market have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Braintree Town have done so in 2 of their last 2.