Our model gives NEC Nijmegen a 38% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 39% for Bodø / Glimt.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 61% likelihood against 39% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, NEC Nijmegen have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Bodø / Glimt have done so in 5 of their last 5.