Our model gives Nantong Zhiyun a 56% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Jiangxi Dingnan United.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 50% likelihood against 50% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Nantong Zhiyun have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Jiangxi Dingnan United have done so in 3 of their last 3.