Our model gives Nadi a 60% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 23% for Nadroga.

Both teams are projected to score in 67% of simulations, against 33% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 67% likelihood against 33% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Nadi have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Nadroga have done so in 2 of their last 3.