Our model gives Municipal Puente Alto a 40% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Atlético Oriente.

Both teams are projected to score in 69% of simulations, against 31% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 70% likelihood against 30% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Municipal Puente Alto have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Atlético Oriente have done so in 3 of their last 4.