Our model gives Mt Druitt Town a 20% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 62% for Northern Tigers.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 67% likelihood against 33% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Mt Druitt Town have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Northern Tigers have done so in 3 of their last 4.