Our model gives Motor Lublin a 39% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Piast Gliwice.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 52% likelihood against 48% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Motor Lublin have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Piast Gliwice have done so in 3 of their last 4.