Our model gives Motor Lublin a 32% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 43% for Legia Warszawa.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 51% likelihood against 49% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Motor Lublin have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Legia Warszawa have done so in 2 of their last 3.