Our model gives Moreirense U19 a 36% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 38% for Famalicão U19.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 56% likelihood against 44% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Moreirense U19 have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Famalicão U19 have done so in 0 of their last 1.