Our model gives Monaro Panthers a 43% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 37% for Cooma Tigers.

Both teams are projected to score in 66% of simulations, against 34% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 71% likelihood against 29% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Monaro Panthers have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Cooma Tigers have done so in 3 of their last 4.