Our model gives Mixto W a 11% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 70% for Palmeiras W.

Both teams are projected to score in 44% of simulations, against 56% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 50% likelihood against 50% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Mixto W have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Palmeiras W have done so in 0 of their last 1.