Our model gives Mixto W a 32% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 40% for Atlético Mineiro W.

Both teams are projected to score in 48% of simulations, against 52% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 48% likelihood against 52% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Mixto W have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Atlético Mineiro W have done so in 0 of their last 1.