Our model gives Mitrovica W a 23% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 59% for Ludogorets W.

Both teams are projected to score in 57% of simulations, against 43% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 69% likelihood against 31% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Mitrovica W have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Ludogorets W have done so in 0 of their last 1.