Our model gives MiPK a 60% chance to win this one, against 17% for a draw and 23% for PeKa.

Both teams are projected to score in 67% of simulations, against 33% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 78% likelihood against 22% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, MiPK have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and PeKa have done so in 3 of their last 3.