Our model gives Minija a 56% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Neptūną Klaipėda.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 56% likelihood against 44% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Minija have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Neptūną Klaipėda have done so in 2 of their last 4.