Our model gives Minerul Lupeni a 19% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 61% for Unirea Slobozia.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 52% likelihood against 48% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Minerul Lupeni have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Unirea Slobozia have done so in 2 of their last 4.