Our model gives Mineros de Zacatecas a 66% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Tlaxcala.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 50% likelihood against 50% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Mineros de Zacatecas have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Tlaxcala have done so in 1 of their last 1.