Our model gives Mika Yerevan a 51% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 30% for Lernayin Artsakh.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 65% likelihood against 35% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Mika Yerevan have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Lernayin Artsakh have done so in 1 of their last 2.