Our model gives Mictlán a 80% chance to win this one, against 13% for a draw and 7% for Fraijanes.

Both teams are projected to score in 46% of simulations, against 54% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 62% likelihood against 38% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Mictlán have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 4, and Fraijanes have done so in 2 of their last 3.