Our model gives Metso a 71% chance to win this one, against 14% for a draw and 16% for FC Komeetat.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 79% likelihood against 21% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Metso have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and FC Komeetat have done so in 1 of their last 3.