Our model gives Metaloglobus a 27% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 48% for Metalul Buzău.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 46% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Metaloglobus have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Metalul Buzău have done so in 2 of their last 4.