Our model gives Memmingen a 22% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 53% for 1860 München.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 53% likelihood against 47% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Memmingen have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and 1860 München have done so in 3 of their last 3.