Our model gives Melhus a 59% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 23% for Herd.

Both teams are projected to score in 68% of simulations, against 32% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 74% likelihood against 26% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Melhus have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Herd have done so in 0 of their last 1.