Our model gives Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki a 59% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Olimpia Zambrów.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 70% likelihood against 30% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Olimpia Zambrów have done so in 3 of their last 3.